April Figures Suggest a Soft Landing of the Local Real Estate Market

In April 2022, 877 homes traded hands in the London-St. Thomas area and 1,609 new property listings were posted on the MLS® System of the London and St. Thomas Association of REALTORS® (LSTAR). The local housing supply bounced up to 1.2 months of inventory in April from only 0.6 months in March.

“These figures suggest a soft landing of the local real estate market: the April home sales are on par with the ten-year average and last month's sales-to-new listings ratio of 54.5% signals that we’re trending towards a more balanced market,” said Randy Pawlowski, 2022 LSTAR President.

Within the same time frame, LSTAR's composite Home Price Index Benchmark Price saw a 4.5% month-over-month decline – from $774,200 in March to $739,700 in April. A similar difference was also seen in LSTAR's overall average home price, which decreased from $823,954 in March to $771,682 in April.

"There is nothing dramatic about the decline in home prices. These single-digit decreases were actually expected after two consecutive interest rate hikes by the Bank of Canada and the Ontario Government's decision to expand and increase the non-resident speculation tax," Pawlowski explained. 

The following table shows how April's average home sales prices in LSTAR's five main regions compare to the benchmark prices for the same areas.

Area April 2022 MLS® HPI Benchmark Price April 2022 Average Price
Central Elgin $773,000 $900,732
London East $647,600 $597,652
London North $863,900 $874,712
London South $731,900 $772,829
Middlesex Centre $1,076,700 $1,192,683
St. Thomas $628,100 $688,116
Strathroy-Caradoc $825,500 $823,380
LSTAR $739,700 $771,682

Out of the 877 units sold last month, 648 were single-family homes, 121 – condo townhouses, and 74 – apartments.

“In April, the average price for a single-family home in LSTAR's jurisdiction sat at $840,415, that of a condo – at $618,049, and the overall average price for an apartment – at $476,283," Pawlowski said. "Speaking of apartments, it's interesting to see that their HPI benchmark price increased in April by 3.7% over the previous month, while the benchmark prices for all the other home types saw month-over-month single-digit reductions," he noted. 

The following table shows the April benchmark prices for all housing types in LSTAR’s jurisdiction and how they measure up to the values from a year ago.

MLS® Home Price Index Benchmark Prices
Benchmark Type April 2022 Change over April 2021
LSTAR Composite $739,700 ↑ 25.1%
LSTAR Single-Family $789,700 ↑ 23.7%
LSTAR One Storey $742,500 ↑ 26.6%
LSTAR Two Storey $838,300 ↑ 21.8%
LSTAR Townhouse $599,900 ↑ 26.1%
LSTAR Apartment $461,400 ↑ 37.0%

"Even if it's much higher than in many cities from Alberta and Saskatchewan, LSTAR's aggregate HPI benchmark price places our area among the most affordable in Ontario," Pawlowski observed. The following chart is based on data provided by the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) for April 1st, 2022.

HPI Benchmark Home Prices Across Canada - April 2022

According to a research report[1] by Altus Group, a total of $73,250 in ancillary expenditures is generated by the average housing transaction in Ontario over a period of three years from the date of purchase. "In other words, our April home sales could potentially generate more than 64 million in spin-off spending over the next three years, thus making an important contribution to the local economy,” Pawlowski concluded.


[1]Economic Impacts of MLS® Systems Home Sales and Purchases in Canada and the Provinces, Altus Group, 2019

Click here to see the original News Release of LSTAR.